Level 1 · Chapter 12

Was Freud right about any of this?

Popper×Freud
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You read your horoscope. “You’ve been feeling pulled in two directions lately. Someone close to you needs more attention than they’re showing.” Wow. That’s exactly you. Then, just for fun, you read the one for a different star sign. It also fits perfectly.

Your friend explains everything with Mercury being in retrograde. Missed train? Mercury. Argument with her boyfriend? Mercury. Great day at work? “Mercury must be out of retrograde.” Whatever happens, the theory wins.

Your uncle has a theory about a secret group running the world. You show him evidence that it isn’t true. He smiles. “That’s exactly what they want you to think.” Now your evidence is proof that he’s right.

And now, the uncomfortable one. For eleven chapters, you’ve been hearing Freud’s ideas. So try this. Imagine you tell a psychoanalyst, “I don’t think I have any hidden anger towards my mother.” And they reply: “The fact that you’re denying it so strongly suggests you do.”

Hmm.

So what’s the difference between a theory that explains everything and a theory that explains nothing?

That’s this chapter. This is the breakup chapter. We’ve spent a whole course with Freud: we’ve laughed with him, argued with him, and seen how much of the modern world he shaped. Now it’s time to sit him down and have the honest conversation. What did he get right? What did he get badly wrong? And does it even matter anymore?

And we’ll do it with the help of a philosopher who grew up in Freud’s own city, looked at psychoanalysis, and asked the most dangerous question in science: how would you ever prove this wrong?

“Freud is dead”

Misquote alert · the thing everyone gets wrong

In 1966, Time magazine published one of the most famous covers in history. Completely black, with three words in red: Is God Dead? Chapter 10 fans, you know exactly where that came from.

In 1993, Time did it again. This time the cover showed a picture of Freud, falling apart like a jigsaw puzzle, with the headline: Is Freud Dead?

And ever since, you’ll hear people say it with total confidence: “Freud’s been debunked.” “Nobody takes Freud seriously anymore.” “Science proved he was wrong.”

Notice something? Both covers were questions. Both had a question mark. And, just like with Nietzsche, people dropped the question mark and turned it into an announcement.

So is Freud dead? The honest answer is: parts of him, yes. Very dead. Other parts are alive and well, often working under different names. That’s what this chapter is about.

The second crime: the philosopher most often quoted as “proving Freud wrong” is Karl Popper. People say Popper showed psychoanalysis was false.

He didn’t. What Popper actually said was more interesting, and in some ways harsher. He said the problem with Freud’s theories wasn’t that they were wrong. It was that there was no way to show they were wrong. Whatever happened, the theory could explain it. And for Popper, a theory that can explain absolutely everything isn’t scientific at all.

But he also said something people almost never quote. He said Freud’s theories might still contain real insights. He compared them to myths: stories that can contain important truths, even if they aren’t science yet. And he thought some of those ideas might one day be turned into something testable.

So Popper didn’t say “Freud was wrong.” He said “Freud isn’t science.” Which isn’t the same thing. And it’s a much more useful thing to understand, because once you get the difference, you’ll never look at a horoscope, a conspiracy theory or a TikTok psychology video the same way again.

Popper: The test Freud couldn’t pass

Meet Karl Popper. Born in Vienna in 1902, so he grew up in the same city as psychoanalysis, at exactly the moment it was becoming famous. As a teenager, he was surrounded by exciting new theories that promised to explain everything: Marx’s theory of history, Freud’s psychoanalysis, and the ideas of Alfred Adler.

Quick side note on Adler. He was one of Freud’s early colleagues who split from him in 1911 and started his own school. And he’s the one who came up with the “inferiority complex.” Not Freud. Yes, another one for the list.

Young Popper actually worked with Adler for a while, in his clinics helping working-class children in Vienna. And one day he told Adler about a child whose case didn’t seem to fit Adler’s theory at all. Adler, who had never even met the child, explained it perfectly using his theory of inferiority feelings.

Popper was a bit shocked. He asked Adler how he could be so sure. Adler said: because of my thousandfold experience. And Popper, who was about seventeen, replied: and with this new case, I suppose, your experience is now thousand-and-one-fold.

Cheeky teenager. But he’d spotted something important.

Around the same time, in 1919, something big happened in physics. Einstein’s theory of relativity made a very specific, very risky prediction: that light from distant stars would bend by a certain amount as it passed the sun. If it didn’t bend, Einstein’s theory was wrong. Full stop. Scientists travelled to watch a solar eclipse, measured the starlight, and it bent, just as Einstein said.

Popper was hugely impressed. Not just because Einstein was right, but because Einstein could have been wrong. He’d stuck his neck out. He’d said: if you see this, my theory is dead.

Now compare that with Freud and Adler. Popper gave an example. Imagine two men. One pushes a child into the water, trying to drown it. The other jumps into the water, risking his life to save a child. Freud’s theory can explain both: the first man is acting on repressed aggression, the second has sublimated it. Adler’s theory can also explain both: both men are driven by feelings of inferiority, one proving he dares to commit a crime, the other proving he dares to be a hero.

Two opposite actions. Both explained perfectly. And that, said Popper, is exactly the problem. If your theory fits every possible situation, it’s not telling you anything about the world. It’s like the horoscope that fits every star sign.

This became Popper’s big idea: falsifiability. A scientific theory has to make claims that could, in principle, turn out to be false. It has to say “if you see this, I’m wrong.”

He used swans to explain it. You can see a thousand white swans, or a million, and you still haven’t proven that all swans are white. But one black swan, and the theory is finished. So science doesn’t progress by proving theories right. It progresses by trying hard to prove them wrong, and keeping the ones that survive.

Freud’s theory, Popper said, never offered a black swan. Nothing could ever count against it. Disagree, and that’s resistance. Deny it, and that’s denial. So, for Popper, psychoanalysis wasn’t false. It just wasn’t science.

Both men had to escape the Nazis. Popper left Austria in 1937 for New Zealand. Freud left in 1938 for London. And after the war, Popper ended up in London too, teaching at the London School of Economics. Two Viennese men who argued about the mind, in the same city, a few years apart.

The case against Freud

Let’s do this properly, like a courtroom. The defendant: Sigmund Freud. Here are the charges.

Charge one: Heads I win, tails you lose
We’ve covered Popper’s point. In practice, it looked like this. If a patient agreed with Freud’s interpretation, that proved he was right. If the patient disagreed, that was “resistance,” which also proved he was right. The evidence for his theories mostly came from his own interpretations of what patients said, which is a bit like marking your own homework.
Charge two: A very small world
Freud built a theory about all of humanity based mostly on a small number of middle-class and wealthy patients in Vienna, around 1900. Very specific people, in a very specific culture, at a very specific moment. Then he claimed his findings applied to everyone, everywhere, forever.

And when others tested that, it didn’t always work. In the 1920s, the anthropologist Bronisław Malinowski studied the Trobriand Islanders in the Pacific, where family life was organised around the mother’s side, and the uncle, not the father, was the main authority figure. The tension Freud expected between boys and their fathers? It seemed to be aimed at the uncle instead. So maybe the Oedipus complex isn’t universal. Maybe it’s a Viennese family drama.

Charge three: The miracle cures that weren’t
Some of the most famous cases in psychoanalysis weren’t the successes they were presented as. Anna O, the patient who gave us “the talking cure,” was presented as cured. In reality, not long after treatment ended, she was admitted to a sanatorium, still seriously unwell. The Wolf Man, one of Freud’s most famous case studies, was presented as cured too. Decades later, in interviews as an old man, he said he wasn’t, and he’d spent much of his life in and out of analysis.

And then there’s Dora. An eighteen-year-old girl, brought to Freud by her father. She told Freud that an older family friend had been making unwanted advances towards her since she was fourteen. Freud’s interpretation was that her disgust was hiding a secret desire for the man. She left after eleven weeks. Today, most people reading that case see a teenager who wasn’t believed.

Charge four: The theory he abandoned
Early in his career, Freud believed that many of his patients’ problems came from real abuse they had suffered in childhood. In 1897, he changed his mind and decided that many of these memories were fantasies. Why he changed his mind is still hotly debated. Some critics argue he turned away from a painful truth; his defenders argue he was right that not every memory is literally accurate. It’s a serious, unresolved argument, and any honest course on Freud has to mention it.
Charge five: Women
Freud’s ideas about women were, let’s be kind, a product of his time, and not in a good way. He said “anatomy is destiny.” He built theories about women largely around the idea that they envied men. Karen Horney, one of the first female psychoanalysts, pushed back hard, and suggested men might be the envious ones, of women’s ability to have children. Freud once supposedly asked, “What does a woman want?” Yes, even that one comes from a friend’s report, not his writing. But it does sum up the problem: he admitted he didn’t understand women, and still wrote the theory.
Charge six: The cocaine years
In 1884, young Dr Freud was very excited about a new wonder drug: cocaine. He wrote an enthusiastic paper about it, took it himself, and recommended it to a friend who was addicted to morphine, as a cure. His friend became addicted to cocaine instead, and died a few years later. Freud rarely talked about it afterwards.
Charge seven: You’re either with me or against me
Freud didn’t take disagreement well. Adler left. Jung left. And to protect the “true” psychoanalysis, Freud’s inner circle formed a secret committee, and Freud gave each member a special ring. Which is less “scientific community” and more “secret society.”

And finally, when modern science tested specific claims, many didn’t hold up. Most dream researchers today, for example, don’t believe that every dream is a disguised wish.

So, the prosecution rests. It’s a strong case.

But before the verdict, the defence gets to speak.

The case for Freud

The defence would like to call its witnesses.

Exhibit one: The unconscious is real
Not exactly the way Freud described it. Modern science doesn’t picture a boiling pot of forbidden wishes guarded by a bouncer. But the basic idea, that most of what goes on in your mind happens outside your awareness, is now mainstream. Psychologists and neuroscientists study it every day: how we’re influenced by things we didn’t consciously notice, how we remember without knowing we remember.

And remember the rider from chapter 1, who invents reasons for where the horse was already going? In a famous 1970s experiment, psychologists asked shoppers to choose the best pair from a row of identical stockings. People tended to pick the ones on the right. When asked why, they talked confidently about the quality, the fabric, the feel. Nobody said “because it was on the right.” They’d made up a perfectly reasonable explanation for a choice driven by something they weren’t aware of. Freud would have smiled.

Exhibit two: Defence mechanisms
Anna Freud’s list is still used and studied in modern psychology. A long-running Harvard study that followed men for decades found that people who relied on more “mature” defences, like humour and sublimation, tended to have happier, healthier lives than those who relied on denial or projection. Not bad for a list written as a birthday present.
Exhibit three: The talking cure
Today, the idea that you can help someone by sitting with them and letting them talk about their life seems obvious. It wasn’t in 1890. Almost every form of talk therapy, including many that disagree with Freud, grew out of that idea. Aaron Beck, the founder of cognitive behavioural therapy, the most widely used therapy in the world today, trained as a psychoanalyst before developing his own approach. And modern psychodynamic therapy, the descendant of psychoanalysis, has been tested in studies, with a number of researchers finding it can be as effective as other established therapies, though that’s still debated.
Exhibit four: Childhood matters
It’s hard to imagine now, but before Freud, the idea that your early childhood shapes the adult you become wasn’t taken seriously in medicine. Today it’s everywhere. John Bowlby, who created attachment theory, one of the most researched ideas in modern psychology, started out as a psychoanalyst. He disagreed with Freud on a lot, but he was standing on his shoulders.
Exhibit five: He changed his mind
Look back at this course. Freud redrew his map of the mind. He rebuilt his theory of anxiety from scratch. He admitted that traumatic nightmares didn’t fit his dream theory. His promised cure was only “common unhappiness.” For a man accused of never admitting he was wrong, he revised himself a lot.
Exhibit six: He changed how we think
Unconscious, denial, projection, repression, ego, ambivalence, Freudian slip. You can’t talk about the human mind in English, Spanish, German or Armenian without using his words. And writers, artists and filmmakers have been using his ideas for a century, as you’ve seen in every chapter of this course. He even won Germany’s most prestigious literary award, the Goethe Prize, in 1930. Whatever else he was, he was a brilliant writer.

So, the defence’s argument is this: Freud wasn’t right about everything. He wasn’t even right about most of the details. But he asked the right questions. And many of the people who proved him wrong were using tools and ideas he gave them.

If psychoanalysis isn’t science, does it still matter?

Tonight: two Viennese men who both ended up in London. One built the most famous theory of the mind in history. The other built the test it couldn’t pass.

What is psychoanalysis, really?

Freud: A science. I trained as a neurologist, I worked in a laboratory, and I always saw psychoanalysis as part of science, a science of the mind, based on careful observation of patients.
Popper: It’s not. A science makes risky predictions that could turn out false. Yours never does. Whatever happens, you have an explanation ready. That makes it something else: closer to a myth, or a philosophy, than a science.

So is it worthless?

Popper: No, and people always forget I said this. Myths aren’t worthless. Some of the most important scientific ideas in history started as myths. Ancient Greek philosophers imagined that everything was made of tiny, invisible particles, centuries before anyone could test it. That was a myth that became science. Freud’s ideas might contain genuine insights. They just need to be turned into something testable before we can call them knowledge.
Freud: And some things that matter most in life can’t be measured in a laboratory. Love. Grief. Guilt. The reason you keep choosing the same kind of person. If science can’t study those yet, should we just ignore them? I’d rather have an imperfect map of that territory than no map at all.

What would they say to each other?

Imaginary, as always, though they lived in the same city at the same time, so it almost could have happened.

Freud to Popper: You say every scientific idea must be falsifiable. But is that idea falsifiable? Can you test your own rule?
Popper: No, and I never claimed it was science. It’s a philosophical proposal about how to do science. That’s the difference between us: I never pretended my philosophy was a science. You did.
Freud: Fine. But sometimes, when a patient insists “I definitely don’t hate my mother,” they really do.
Popper: Sometimes. The problem starts when “sometimes” becomes “always.”

So who wins?

For once, there’s something close to a real verdict.

Popper wins on the question of science. Psychoanalysis, as Freud built it, isn’t science in the strict sense, and many of its specific claims haven’t held up.

But Freud wins something too. He opened up a territory that nobody had properly explored: the hidden, irrational, contradictory parts of the human mind. His maps were wrong in places. Some were very wrong. But the territory was real, and a lot of people who came after him found their way around it using the paths he started.

So maybe the best way to read Freud is the way Popper suggested: not as a set of truths to believe, but as a collection of powerful ideas to test, argue with, and keep only when they survive.

And honestly? That’s the most important lesson of this whole course. Not just about Freud. About Nietzsche. About Plato. About every quote on Instagram and every psychology video on your feed. Before you believe something, ask Popper’s question: how would I know if this were wrong?

That one question will protect you from more nonsense than any philosopher ever could.

You’ve seen this before

Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure
Two teenage idiots travel through time collecting historical figures for a school project, and they bring Freud to a shopping mall in 1980s California. He ends up eating a very long corn dog while looking thoughtful. It’s silly, and it’s also proof of how famous he is: out of all of history, he made the final cut, next to Napoleon and Joan of Arc.
The Seven-Per-Cent Solution
In this novel, later made into a film, Sherlock Holmes’s cocaine habit has got out of control, so Dr Watson tricks him into travelling to Vienna to be treated by… Sigmund Freud. Two of the most famous “detectives” of the human mind, from the same era, working together. And given Freud’s own cocaine years, from the case against him, there’s a delicious irony in him being the one to cure it.
A Dangerous Method
A film about Freud’s relationship with Carl Jung, his favourite student, and how it fell apart. It shows the side of psychoanalysis from charge seven: the loyalty tests, the jealousy, the feeling that disagreeing with Freud meant betraying him. It also features Sabina Spielrein, one of the first female psychoanalysts, whose own ideas influenced both men and were overlooked for decades.
Freud (the Netflix series)
In this 2020 series, young Freud is a crime-solving detective in Vienna, using hypnosis to catch murderers. It’s historically very loose, and very dramatic. But it’s a funny example of how far Freud has travelled in the public imagination: from scientist, to cartoon, to action hero.
Horoscopes and personality quizzes
In 1948, a psychologist named Bertram Forer gave his students a “personalised” personality analysis. They rated it as extremely accurate. Every student had received exactly the same text, copied mostly from an astrology book. Descriptions vague enough to fit everyone feel incredibly personal. That’s why “which Hogwarts house are you?” quizzes feel so true, and it’s Popper’s point in action: if something fits everybody, it tells you nothing about you.
Therapy-speak on your feed
“Gaslighting.” “Narcissist.” “Trauma response.” “Toxic.” These words started as specific psychological ideas, and now they’re everywhere, applied to everyone. Some of those videos are genuinely helpful. But next time a video tells you that every single thing your ex did proves they’re a narcissist, ask Popper’s question: is there anything he could have done that would prove he wasn’t? If the answer is no, you’re not watching psychology. You’re watching a horoscope.

No-jokes box

“Is Freud dead?”: Time magazine’s cover of 29 November 1993 asked this as a question, echoing its famous “Is God Dead?” cover of 8 April 1966. Both are often repeated as statements.

Karl Popper (1902–1994): Austrian-British philosopher of science, born in Vienna. In The Logic of Scientific Discovery (1934; English 1959), he argued that what distinguishes science from non-science is falsifiability: a scientific theory must make claims that could, in principle, be shown false by observation. No number of confirming instances can prove a universal theory (many white swans do not prove all swans are white), but a single counterexample can refute it. In Conjectures and Refutations (1963), he contrasted Einstein’s risky, testable predictions (confirmed by the 1919 eclipse observations) with the theories of Freud, Adler and Marx, which seemed able to explain any outcome. He did not claim psychoanalysis was false; he argued it was untestable, while suggesting it might contain valuable insights, as myths sometimes do before becoming testable science.

Main criticisms of Freud: Key claims are difficult or impossible to falsify; evidence came largely from his own interpretations; his patient base was small and culturally specific; the universality of the Oedipus complex was questioned by anthropologists such as Bronisław Malinowski; several famous cases (Anna O, the Wolf Man, Dora) were less successful than presented; his abandonment of the “seduction theory” in 1897 remains debated; his theories of female psychology were widely criticised, including by Karen Horney; his early promotion of cocaine had harmful consequences; and many specific claims, such as the wish-fulfilment theory of all dreams, have not been supported by later research.

Ideas with lasting influence: The existence of mental processes outside awareness is widely accepted in cognitive science, though not in Freud’s specific form; research such as Nisbett and Wilson’s (1977) shows people often give confident but inaccurate reasons for their choices. Defence mechanisms continue to be studied, for example in George Vaillant’s work on the Harvard Grant Study. Talk therapy as a practice grew from psychoanalysis; the founders of cognitive therapy and attachment theory, Aaron Beck and John Bowlby, both trained psychoanalytically. Modern psychodynamic therapy has research support, though its comparative effectiveness remains debated. The idea that early experience shapes adult life is now widely accepted.

Where they meet: Freud and Popper both came from Vienna, both fled the Nazis, both ended up in London, and both were concerned with what we can truly know.

Where they differ: Freud regarded psychoanalysis as a science of the mind. Popper held that it was not science because it could not be tested, though its ideas might still prove valuable.

Where to go next:

  • Popper’s Conjectures and Refutations, chapter 1, “Science: Conjectures and Refutations.” Clear, lively and short, with the Adler story.
  • Freud: A Very Short Introduction by Anthony Storr, which ends with a fair assessment of his legacy.
  • Philosophy of Science: A Very Short Introduction by Samir Okasha, which explains falsifiability and its limits.
  • Freud’s own An Autobiographical Study (1925), to hear him make his case in his own words.

Homework

5. Freud or Popper? Who would say it?
Tap your answer for each one.
1. “Psychoanalysis is a science of the mind.”
2. “A theory that explains everything explains nothing.”
3. “If the patient disagrees, that may be resistance.”
4. “One black swan is enough.”
5. “Some things that matter most can’t be measured in a lab.”
6. “Myths can contain real insights before they become science.”

Goodbye (for now)

So. Twelve chapters ago, you were lying in bed at 2am, watching videos about octopuses, asking: why are we like this?

I promised you wouldn’t get a final answer. I kept that promise. But look at what you’ve got instead.

You know that “God is dead” was a warning, not a caption. That the unconscious existed before Freud, and that Freud never said “id,” “ego,” “Freudian slip” or “sometimes a cigar is just a cigar.” That Oedipus never had an Oedipus complex, that your “other half” came from a comedian with hiccups, and that “anxiety is the dizziness of freedom” was technically written by the Watchman of Copenhagen.

You’ve met a barefoot Athenian, a grumpy man with poodles, a lens-grinder, a playwright, a café waiter, a butterfly, a charioteer, and a teenager who told Alfred Adler his experience was now thousand-and-one-fold.

And you’ve learned the most important skill of all: not what to think, but how to question what you’re told. Including what I told you.

Socrates said the unexamined life isn’t worth living. Freud said examining it is harder than it looks. Popper said: fine, but check your evidence.

In Level 2, we go deeper. Jung and his shadow. Melanie Klein and why we love and hate the same person. Winnicott and the good-enough mother. Lacan, who makes Freud look simple. The death drive. Camus, Beauvoir, and a Slovenian philosopher who can’t stop analysing films.

Until then, lie down. Rest. You’ve earned it.

And next time you see a black-and-white photo on Instagram with the caption “God is dead.” — Nietzsche…

You’ll know exactly what to comment.

That’s Level 1 done
Level 2: Freud mostly stays home
Jung, Klein, Winnicott, Lacan, Beauvoir, Camus and more
Go to Level 2 →
Popper
Freud
psst: the guests come loose. drag them anywhere.